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Super Bowl 53: Rushing Props to Target

Super Bowl 53: Rushing Props to Target

 

The Super Bowl is a gold mine for prop bets with everything from length of the National Anthem down to what color gatorade will be poured on the winning coach available for you to bet on. All this week I’m going to break down some of my favorite prop bets that I’m considering and give out some other ones to check out just for fun. Today we are looking at the rushing prop bets that are standing out.

*All Screenshots taken from RotoQL Web-App

**Player Props Provided by DraftKings Sports Book

 

Patriots Rushing Props to Target

 

Sony Michel O80.5 Rushing Yards (-106) 

When heathy, Sony Michel has been a key cog in the Patriots offense and you have to think that they continue to ride him in the Super Bowl after back to back great performances in the playoffs. Michel’s rushing prop of 80.5 is just too low in my opinion and there is great value on the over at -106. Michel has rushed for 81 or more yards in 7 of 8 games this season in which he has gotten more 18 or more carries with the lone exception coming on the road in week 14 against the Dolphins.

 

Tom Brady U0.5 Rushing Yards (+108) 

Tom Brady isn’t much of a runner and he has 1 or zero rushing attempts in 12 of 18 games this season including the playoffs. The only time that Brady ever really gets yards on the ground is with QB sneaks and I’m willing to take a chance that the Patriots lean on either RB Sony Michel or FB James Devlin if they are in need of getting a yard. Add in the very real possibility of Brady taking a knee for negative yardage at the end of the first half or end of the game and it’s worth it to take a chance on U0.5 rushing yards for Brady at +108.

 

James White O3.5 Rushing Yards on First Attempt (+125) 

James White is a key piece of the Patriots offense with his pass catching ability out of the backfield, but I also really like his O3.5 rushing yards on his first rushing attempt at +125. White doesn’t get many carries, but when he does — especially with Michel back in the mix — they typically come out of shotgun against only 7 man fronts. White has averaged over 3.25 yards per carry in every game since Michel returned from injury in week 12, and +125 is a lot of value on the chance that his first rush goes for over that average.

 

 

Rex Burkhead O4.5 Rushing Attempts (-125) 

Rex Burkhead has a skill set that allows him to be on the field on both rushing and passing situations and I like him to go over his rushing attempts prop of 4.5 attempts. Burkhead has had at least 4 carries in every game since he returned from an early season knee injury in week 13. Burkhead has also seen his most volume in games against opposing teams with good offenses with 32 combined carries against Minnesota, Pittsburgh, and Kansas City, which also happened to be the only 3 games he played in that had totals of 50 points or higher.

 

Rams Rushing Props to Target 

 

C.J. Anderson O11.5 Rushing Attempts (+105) 

C.J. Anderson has reinvented himself this season with the Rams and he has established himself as a key cog in the offense. His rushing attempts prop is just too low at 11.5 considering Anderson has over 16 carries in all four of his games with Los Angeles. Sure, we can’t project Todd Gurley to be completely phased out again like he was against the Saints, but it’s clear that the Rams want to ride their running game to keep the pressure off of Jared Goff. O11.5 attempts at +105 is too good of value to pass up.

 

 

Jared Goff O7.5 Rushing Yards (-134)

Jared Goff has proven himself to be sneaky athletic and has shown that he has no problem taking off and rushing the ball if things start to break down. Goff has rushed for 3 or more attempts in 9 of 18 games this season and topped 7 yards in 6 of those games. I don’t love the value on this prop at -134, but Goff has a very good chance of getting over the line in just one or two attempts.

 

Todd Gurley O91.5 Total Yards (-115)

It’s hard to know what to make of Todd Gurley’s role in the Rams offense. He was the early favorite for NFC OPOY at the mid-way point of the season, but a knee injury and the arrival of C.J. Anderson has seen Gurley’s role in offense shrink. This culminated in his 5 touch outing in the NFC Championship. I have to think the Sean McVay and the Rams coaching staff will make it a point to get Gurley more involved after having to answer questions about Gurley for the last two weeks and if he can break 20 total touches then he is virtually a lock to go over his rushing+receiving yardage prop of 91.5. In 9 games this season in which Gurley had 20 or more touches, he broke the 91 yard mark in all but one. If you think Gurley gets the volume, this is the prop to hammer.

 

 

C.J. Anderson to have most rushing yards (+500) 

The two obvious options for most rushing yards is either Sony Michel (-115) or Todd Gurley (+165), but to me by far the best value for this prop is C.J. Anderson at +500. Sean McVay has already shown that he is willing to ride Anderson if he gets hot and he legitimately has 15-20 rushing attempt upside if he gets rolling. Anderson has averaged 116.5 yards per game with the Rams, which included a 123 yard outing in the Divisional Playoff round with Todd Gurley active and involved in the offense. +500 is amazing value for this bet.

 

There’s plenty of strategy that goes into putting together a winning ticket, and the best place to start is the BetQL Mobile App. Our Trending Picks and Public Betting tools are a massive advantage when you’re making bets, regardless of bankroll size. I’m always there to help, too, so check me out on Twitter (@DFSBenj) for even more NFL, NBA, MLB and PGA daily fantasy and sports betting content.

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