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NBA Value Bets and Props: January 30, 2019

NBA Value Bets and Props: January 30, 2019


Tonight in the NBA we have a great 8 game slate that features a few games that sharp bettors are looking to hammer. Total money is over 60% on the Heat, Mavs, Wizards, Kings, Celtics, and Nuggets tonight and these are all spots that you should be considering adding to you card.


There’s plenty of strategy that goes into putting together a winning ticket, and the best place to start is the BetQL Mobile App. Our Trending Picks and Public Betting tools are a massive advantage when you’re making bets, regardless of bankroll size. I’m always there to help, too, so check me out on Twitter (@DFSBenj) for even more NFL, NBA, MLB and PGA daily fantasy content and sports betting content.


All lines, odds, and bettor data are subject to change. The best way to get up to the second lines and betting information is to become a BetQL subscriber.


Value Bet of the Night


Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans (+9)


The top rated value bet of the night is the New Orleans Pelicans who come in as huge 9-point home underdogs to the Denver Nuggets. The Pelicans will still be without Anthony Davis and Julius Randle down low, but the play of C Jahlil Okafor has been one of the most pleasant surprises in the NBA over the last month.


The Pelicans are on the 2nd half of a back to back but are coming off a shocking upset of the Rockets when they closed as 13.5-point favorites. Both sharp and public money are on Denver in this matchup, but the BetQL models like the value on the Pelicans and think that 9-points is too many to be laying on the road for the Nuggets.




Sharp Bet to Consider


Chicago Bulls at Miami Heat (-10.5) 


The sharp bet of the night is the Miami Heat who come in as 10.5-point home favorites to the tanking Bulls. A massive 93% of total money is coming in on Miami to cover the spread with Chicago playing the 2nd half of a back to back and their third game in four nights.


Chicago have been terrible this season as double-digit underdogs, going 3-9 against the spread this season. A key injury to keep an eye on in this matchup is the status of Bulls guard Zach LaVine, who is questionable to play with an ankle injury. Expect this line to move a point or two towards Miami if LaVine is ruled out.



Player Props to Consider

Jayson Tatum U18.5 Points (-115) 

Jayson Tatum is an interesting DFS play tonight for the Celtics with Kyrie Irving out of the lineup, but with that in mind I’m still very interested in taking the under on his points prop of 18.5. Tatum has topped 18 points in only 3 of his last 10 games and has failed to go over 18 points in any of his 5 career games against the Hornets.



Luke Doncic U6.5 Assists (-108) 

Luka Doncic has taken his game to another level over the last month of the season and he is in a great spot tonight in a matchup with the Knicks. However, Doncic’s assist numbers have been way down when he has played on the road this season and I like the under on his assist prop of 6.5 at -108. This sounds almost unbelievable given the hype around Doncic this season, but he has exceeded 6 assists in only 4 of 24 road games this season and with the better value on the under on this prop, I’ll look to side with the longer term trend over his recent form (over 6 assists in 4 of his last 8 games).



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