Subscribe to our daily Newsletter

home

NBA DFS Core Plays: February 11, 2019

NBA DFS Core Plays: February 11, 2019 

 

 

We are oh so close to the All-Star Break which means we can finally watch the Curry Brother’s battle it out in the Three Point Competition. (I got Seth.)

 

But before that can even happen we need to dissect this 9-game NBA Slate and see how it’s looking.

 

First, I am going to list each game including the Over/Under and Projected Points Total for each team.

 

Games:

 

  • NY (103.8) @ CLE (105.3) – O/U: 209
  • WAS (109.0) @ DET (114.0) – O/U: 223
  • CHA (104.8) @ IND (110.3) – O/U: 215
  • BKN (108.3) @ TOR (118.8) – O/U: 227
  • MIL (120.0) @ CHI (108.0) – O/U: 228
  • DAL (105.5) @ HOU (115.5) – O/U: 221
  • LAC (112.8) @ MIN (117.3) – O/U: 230
  • POR (111.8) @ OKC (118.3) – O/U: 230
  • MIA (101.8) @ DEN (112.3) – O/U: 214

 

Then I am going to give you my DFS Core Plays which is a list of my Top-Tier Players and my Value Players from tonight’s slate.

 

Point Guard

 

Top-Tier: Zach LaVine (PG/SG, CHI) – The Zach Attack is in full-force right now as LaVine has been impressive over his last 3 games. He is averaging 45.083 fantasy points per game over his last 3 on DraftKings and his price is still below 7K. LaVine gets a matchup with the Bucks tonight who LaVine torched for 48.25 fantasy points earlier this season. Expect a lot of LaVine tonight for the Bulls.

 

 

Value: Cory Joseph (PG/SG, IND) – Joseph isn’t starting anymore for the Pacers which has actually helped his fantasy production. I know it sounds weird but since being relegated to the bench 3 games ago, Joseph has averaged 33.5 fantasy points. While Joseph was starting, which only lasted 3 games, he was averaging 22.25 fantasy points. Joseph has stepped up his game since hitting the bench and Charlotte will be without Tony Parker tonight which bodes well for Joseph’s performance off the bench.

 

Shooting Guard

 

Top-Tier: Andrew Wiggins (SG/SF, MIN) – Wiggins is hot right now and the last team that is going to put that fire out is the LA Clippers (113.6 Points Allowed Per Game). But surprisingly enough, Wiggins hasn’t been doing the majority of his work trying to score. Instead of the traditional Wiggins we have been getting Wiggins 2.0. Which is the version of Andrew Wiggins that can average stats like these over two games:  23 PPG, 9.5 RPG, 5 APG, 2 BPG, 1.5 SPG. Can you imagine an Andrew Wiggins like that? Watch tonight, he will be on the same pace again against a weak defensive team in the Clippers.

 

Value: Jordan Clarkson (PG/SG, CLE) – Clarkson has been playing well as of late and is still going to get at least 30 minutes of playing time. The Cavaliers continue to deal with injuries and have been forced to start a lineup that consists of David Nwaba and Deng Adel. This means plenty of scoring opportunities for Clarkson who has averaged 19 PPG, 4.5 RPG and 3.67 APG over his last 6 games. Clarkson faces the Knicks tonight who are missing a lot of PG depth including the likes of Frank Ntilikina and Emmanuel Mudiay. Last time out vs the Knicks Clarkson had 37.25 fantasy points, tonight I think he can go off for even more because of both teams’ being shorthanded.

 

Small Forward

 

Top-Tier: Paul George (SF/PF, OKC) – Paul George could easily be an MVP Candidate this year. I mean come on the guy is averaging 37.7 points over his last 7 games. And it doesn’t stop there. What about 49 3-pointers over his last 8 games? Or what about the 8.125 rebounds per game over his last 8? Oh yea and only 2.4 steals per game over his last 7 as well. Paul George is a freaking man among boys and get this: he is averaging 58.5 fantasy points per game vs POR in 2 games.

 

 

Value: Jabari Parker (SF/PF, WAS) – So happy he was able to get out of that toxic situation in Chicago. The coach wouldn’t even include Parker in the rotation even though the Bulls were paying him $20 million per year. What a joke. But now Parker is on the Wizards and he is getting plenty of minutes (59 in 2 games). And the production he has shown has been outstanding: 13.5 PPG, 8 RPG, 7.5 APG, 1.5 BPG, 2 SPG. I mean he almost dropped a triple-double in his first game with the Wizards and then dropped 20 points the next game with 5 rebounds, 6 assists, 2 blocks and a steal. Yea I’d say Parker is thriving in his new situation.

 

Power Forward

 

Top-Tier: Bobby Portis (PF/C, WAS) – The Bulls front office must be kicking themselves for trading away Portis and Parker. Because the second they both got traded, their fantasy production decided to go through the roof. I mean look at these stats in only 2 games with the Wizards: 20 PPG, 9 RPG, 3 APG, 1 BPG and 0.5 SPG. And the word is that Jeff Green might miss tonight’s game which could open up more minutes for Portis. Portis is already a huge upgrade for Washington at the PF spot where they were kind of forced to go small before. I expect Portis to play a lot of minutes vs Detroit because they play 2 traditional big men (Griffin and Drummond) so the Wizards will need Portis’s rebounding a lot.

 

Value: Larry Nance Jr. (PF/C, CLE) – Larry Nance has seen 2 starts in a row and has averaged 45.375 fantasy points in those games. He’s also double-doubled in 5-straight games which means Larry Nance is fully recovered from that knee injury. He’s also seen 60+ touches in 4-straight games which could be because of the lack of healthy bodies on the Cavaliers. Look for Nance to start at center again for the Cavs and go off on the Knicks. In one game this year vs NY, Nance put up 39.25 fantasy points in what was an impressive defensive showing from the 26-year old.

 

Center

 

Top-Tier: Nikola Jokic (C, DEN) – Nikola has only played one game vs the Heat this season and in that game Jokic had a triple-double. That triple-double was good for 63.25 fantasy points which would make Nikola good for around 6x value at his current price point on DraftKings. Jokic actually has 2-straight triple-doubles which means that it is even more likely he does it again tonight. Not sure if Paul Millsap returning will take any minutes away from Jokic, I’m hoping it only hurts Plumlee’s fantasy production.

 

Value: Mitchell Robinson (C, NY) – New York is going Full Tank Mode, and this move usually coincides with playing all of your young guys a lot. Which means Mitchell Robinson is now seeing around 24 minutes per game depending on foul trouble. The thing about Robinson I love is how much value he can get out of such a small number of minutes. Like two games ago vs Detroit when he only played 15 minutes but put up 26 fantasy points on DraftKings. That’s 1.733 fantasy points per minute for the Big Man which is impressive. Here is the icing on the cake: 28.917 fantasy points over his last 3 games divided by his price of only $4,100 on DraftKings make his value around 7x tonight.

 

 

 

Thank you all for reading this edition of the NBA DFS Core Plays!

My name is Gregory R. Bunch aka the Daily Fantasy Hitman.
Follow me on Twitter @DailyHitman

visit website

recommended by