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Burns’ Best Bets: February 9, 2019

Burns’ Best Bets: February 9, 2019

 

 

Before we move forward to an exciting weekend of basketball, let’s take a quick look back at another winning week. The Providence Friars suffered a frustrating loss to DePaul to start the weekend, but we closed strong with Kentucky, Kansas and Syracuse all coming through with wins. The full results from last week are below.

 

Providence + 1 over DePaul – L

Kentucky – 3 over Florida – W

Kansas – 3.5 over Texas Tech – W

Syracuse – 2.5 over Pittsburgh – W

 

Best Bets for College Basketball – February 9th

 

Kentucky Wildcats – 4 (13-9 ATS) vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-12 ATS)

 

The Wildcats roll into Starkville to take on the Bulldogs Saturday afternoon. Kentucky destroyed South Carolina on Tuesday night and Mississippi State suffered an overtime home defeat against LSU in their last game. Kentucky has won nine games in a row and is now ranked in the top five and is playing as well as any team in the country.

Mississippi State fell to 4-5 in conference play with their loss to LSU. Senior guard Quinndary Weatherspoon leads the Bulldogs with 18.0 per game and had 27 points against LSU including four from behind the arc. Kentucky is 5-0 ATS in their past five games and 6-1 SU over their past seven away games. Mississippi State is 3-6 ATS in their last nine games and 0-5 SU over their past five games against Kentucky. The Bulldogs are a solid team and are a tough out at home, but Kentucky is playing great basketball and has more overall talent. Look for Kentucky to cover the four point spread.

 

 

Mississippi Rebels – 3 (16-6 ATS) vs. Georgia Bulldogs (12-10 ATS)

 

Ole Miss snapped a four game losing streak earlier this week with a home win over Texas A&M. The Rebels are led by star guard Breein Tyree who averages 18.0 per game. It has been a rough year for Georgia and head coach Tom Crean. The Bulldogs have lost three straight games and are 1-8 in conference play. The Rebels are 16-6 ATS this season which is one of the best records in the country. Ole Miss is 12-5 SU over their last 17 games and 6-1 ATS over their past seven away games. Georgia is 1-6 ATS in their past seven conference games and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall. I think Mississippi plays well in Athens and comes away with a key victory. I’m taking the Rebels -3.

 

 

Texas Tech Red Raiders – 1 ( 8-14-1 ATS) vs. Oklahoma Sooners (16-5-2 ATS)

 

The Red Raiders head to Norman for a key Big 12 matchup. Texas Tech is two games back in the loss column and needs to make up ground quickly in the conference standings. Oklahoma has really struggled in conference play and are riding a three game losing streak heading into this matchup. Jarrett Culver is the main offensive weapon for Tech, but make no mistake defense is the key to the their success. They currently have the third ranked scoring defense in the country only giving up 57 points per game.

The Sooners are a veteran team and they have a solid resume but need to win some games down the stretch to cement a tournament bid. Oklahoma has a balanced offensive attack with multiple scoring options such as Christian James and Brady Manek. Texas Tech has struggled this season ATS and are only 1-6 in their last seven away games ATS. The Sooners have been awesome this year ATS and are 5-1 ATS in the past six home games against Texas Tech. I know they have struggled this year against the number, but I think Tech pulls out a close win Saturday.

 

 

Virginia Cavaliers – 2 (16-5 ATS) vs. Duke Blue Devils (14-8 ATS)

 

In the first meeting this season, Duke beat Virginia in a classic matchup by the score of 72-70. The Cavaliers have won four straight since suffering their only defeat of the season. Virginia has a suffocating defense and they have the number one ranked scoring defense in the nation. Ty Jerome, the point guard and leader, sat out of Virginia’s last game against Miami with a back injury. I think he will play which would be a huge boost to the Cavaliers chances.

Duke is loaded with NBA talent and they are coming off a home win over Boston College. Duke actually trailed at halftime but then rolled in the second half for a easy victory. The Blue Devils are led by the best freshman class in the country with Zion Williamson, Cam Reddish, Tre Jones and RJ Barrett. The one true weakness of the Blue Devils is their three point field goal percentage. They only shoot 30% which leaves them ranked 317th in the country. The Cavaliers are 10-2 ATS over their past 12 games and 7-2 ATS in the past nine games against Duke. The Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS over the past five games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games. I favor Virginia to win and get revenge for their only loss of the season. But if Ty Jerome doesn’t play for Virginia tread lightly. Keep your eye on the injury report heading into the Saturday evening tipoff.

 

 

 

Shawn Burns is one of the newest content writers for BetQL. As a former staffer for the Jacksonville Jaguars and Director of Football Relations at Florida International University, Burns brings a new perspective and unique handicapping techniques to our readers. You can follow Shawn on Twitter @sburns4597

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